TEÓDULO LÓPEZ MELÉNDEZ, Writer and Journalist - Caracas, Venezuela
Some have sustained that the expression “cold war” it was used by first time by Voltaire. I have not gotten it in their texts and I cannot assure it, but palpably that the one added of the word “new” it is being claimed by several parents. The certain thing is that the world walks jumbled.
There is a medley of events, from the fracture of the Baltic one, the independence of Kosovo, the invasion to Iraq, the Iranian nuclear development, the case of Osetia of the South and Abjazia, the complex of western missiles in Poland and Chequia and several other factors located in environments binacionales.
That of Iran continues effective. Nobody could question, in spite of the enormous diplomatic efforts that United States should have clever the attack plans to the factory of enrichment of uranium of Natanz and that of conversion of Ispahán. It is spoken until of 20 satellites observing each Iranian movement.
From the invasion to Iraq the United States deployed bases in Central Asia, in countries that were low the Russian influence. Russia attempted maneuvers to avoid it turns surrounded, although the war brought him colateral benefits as the rise of the prices of the gas and of the petroleum, at the same time that moved in protection of its energy interests in the breast of the Organization of Cooperation of Shanghai
Parallelly Russia has gone restricting the access from the foreign multinationals to its energy wealth, like it is the case of of the projects Sakhalin-1 Sakhalin-2 tossing to the Exxon and the Shell.
The key point where the blowout of this new cold war takes place it is the 43 Conference of Security of Munich where Putin throws the accusations against United States: “I use incontenido of the military force in the international relationships” and of “to hurtle to the world in an abyss of permanent conflicts”. it was the answer to the North American initiative of installing an antimissile shield in Poland and Chequia.
The North Americans have alleged the nuclear threat of Korea of the North as justification to this zeal. Parallelly it USES it has tried to Include Ukraine and Georgia in the NATO like tong to isolate Moscow, what is contradictory with what Washington had said permanently of not going beyond the limits of 1989.
The problem of the expansion of the western alliance explodes in the recent Georgian crisis. Seemingly frozen problems after the fragmentation of the USSR, as those of Osetia of the South and Abjazia (Georgia), that of the High Karabaj (Azerbaijan) and of the Transdniéster (Moldavia) they explode in Georgia for the appearance of a called leader Mijaíl Saakashvili who desirous of uniting Georgia Osetia of the South it invades, in an operation disheveled then could never hope Russia doesn't react.
He made it as great power in a definitive demonstration that occident could not isolate Russia taking like base the fragments of the USSR. Russia has put a control to the expansion of the NATO for its south flank and has left a warning to any interference in the Caucasus.
It is this the scenario of the new cold war between Russia and occident, but, parallelly, there are other small new cold wars. África enters in the scenario, from the situation of Darfur, in the south part of Sudan, until the insatiable Chinese appetite for petroleum where the region between Sudan and Chad is a priority. China and Japan liberate an incipient and own cold war. We are in kind of a preparation career for the new times, for the geopolitical chess to play in the XXI century, and it takes it to a latent hostility that I don't have the smallest doubt it deserves the epithet of new cold war. Meanwhile the earnings multiply: Boeing, Raytheon and Lockheed Martin the hands are rubbed before the revenues that will come from the shield antimisilístico.
It is not, in the bottom, of if there is or there is not an enemy of the one which to defend, because if there is not him it is manufactured. The matter is in that this new cold war doesn't have ideological components. Here it is not that the Russian Communist Party defends the validity of the socialism, because it is a minority and it is outside of the government. It is not a China defending the revolutionary principles of Mao, but of a capitalist expansionismo that takes to Beijing to collide against their mentors from Washington and Tokyo.
The petroleum continues playing its list, although doesn't faint in finding the form of substituting it. It is believed, for example that the Ártico can contain 90.000 millions of barrels of raw. It is expected with anxiety-against all logic already until against all expectation of survival - that the thick layer of ice of the Ártico comes undone. Already, in fact, he/she is making it, and enter who look for the new route Russia and United States are. To the peaceful Canada is devoted to make military exercises in the area.
The new cold war continues. Georgia gets ready for harassment movements against the Russian troops in the territories that Russia has recognized as independent. Moscow will continue being irritated by the fleet of the NATO in the Black Sea (nine ships, among those which the destructive McFaul with 50 cruise missiles with nuclear capacity).
And the gift appears for Putin and its earring Dmitri Medvedev: a nicknamed Latin American commander Chávez. This bridge to be introduced in the Caribbean is gratuitous, it doesn't cost the immense sums that to the USSR Cuba cost him, also has petroleum and, for if it was little, has money to full hands to buy weapons. More good, impossible.
This episode of introduction of Venezuela in the new war cold sample, in the first place that Chávez constantly lies, like it is its negative of having offered Moscow the installation of Russian bases in our territories while the whole Russian official press confirmed it. To the announcement of combined maneuvers with the Russian armada, it is necessary to add the announcement of the spokesman of the armed Ígor Says it on the establishment “storm” of airplanes Russian hunt-submarines in our airport. We will have, because, in our waters to the nuclear cruise ‘Piotr Veliki ', among others.
Of course that here there is not any North American submarine that “to hunt”. it is an operation of new cold war. To the interference of the NATO one responds with an interference in the Caribbean, a cheap one, a reproductive one for the Russian arks. A, yes, very dangerous for the Venezuelan future, because it is a where the local commander is believed “protected” against the empire and it achieves his purpose megalomaniac of protagonism. In both hypotheses the local commander makes a mistake, to exception that his name will circulate again in the great world press and serious armed forces as those of Brazil and Colombia they will study the Russian interference with the arched brows.
Chávez has transformed to this small republic into a peon, in a poor peon, of the geopolitical chess that is schemed in the XXI century. He has made it to satisfy their longings of protagonism, because favorable practical results for their permanency in the power don't exist. He imitates, this way, to their father Fidel Castro and dreams of a crisis of the missiles like the one that Cuba lived.
Chávez forgets that the ideological component shines for its absence. If the escalade stays and the Russian bring ships with nuclear weapons able to reach North American territory, it is possible that has it. For Putin and their earring the call “socialist revolution of the XXI century” in Venezuela it lacks interest absolutely.
Meanwhile the Russian will say that they give them house, food and they also pay them. Similar chulería doesn't practice it neither the European mafias that traffic white. It is a gift for the mother Russia. Van to sound the bells of the Orthodox Churches of Moscow and of San Petersburgo in sign of gratefulness. Meanwhile the Venezuelans should know all that will bring them the new cold war: a “I give” that nobody wants.
